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Mowing my own damn lawn

If immigration slows and/or reverses, what will get more expensive first?

Moses Sternstein's avatar
Moses Sternstein
Dec 02, 2024
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  • industries most dependent on “foreign born” labor

  • construction’s share

  • mind the super-core

  • wither near-shoring?


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Mowing my own damn lawn

I think it’s safe to assume that there will be less illegal immigration under the Trump administration.

Whether Trump actually succeeds in deporting “millions” of people, is harder to say.1

Where labor prices will rise the most

In all events though, these are the services that are most dependent on illegal immigration for workers:

Goldman Sachs

Illegal (and legal) immigrants are a substantial share of various home and domestic services, like landscaping, but also food preparation, and of course, construction.

No real surprises here—newcomers tend to concentrate in lower-skill service industries—although, I suppose construction is a little lower than I expected.

As an aside, the “foreign born” share of construction workers did hit an all-time (as did the foreign born share of the labor force generally):

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