Archive - Random Walk

DOGE ftw!; Luxury woes; Manufacturing Boomlet; Real AI threat; Housing Supply is *perfect*

Five Idea Friday: featuring a manufacturing boom, and 20+ charts to carry you through the weekend

Apr 17 • Moses Sternstein

Uncharted waters, blissfully unaware

Growth without growing is the name of the game, so how're we doing, so far?

Apr 15 • Moses Sternstein

Michael Burry Chimes in...When it comes to housing, it’s the interest rates, stupid

The Big Shorter declares "Random Walk is correct! There is no affordability-shortage crisis, but there is a 30-year fixed rate mortgage subsidy crisis"

Apr 6 • Moses Sternstein

When to cut bait?

At what point does one conclude that a fund's performance is what it is

Apr 2 • Moses Sternstein

March 2026

AI-Beneficiaries-in-Training

Trying to identify some companies spending today, for results tomorrow

Mar 27 • Moses Sternstein

Curley Reprise; Density Change; Fading Fade America; Redemption Risks; Generational Flippening

Five Idea Friday: 20 some-odd charts to carry you through the weekend

Mar 20 • Moses Sternstein

A tale of three prices (for oil)

Quick notes on the other regime change

Mar 19 • Moses Sternstein

Can't Lose; Curley Effects; Zyn Tax; Homebuyer Shortage; BDC Woes

Five Idea Friday: 20 some-odd charts to carry you through the weekend

Mar 13 • Moses Sternstein

Let's see what the Cycle Dragged in

Ruminating on regime change

Mar 12 • Moses Sternstein

Gas compression, jobs, dispersion and vol, nuclear, and Hormuzing

Five Idea Friday: 20 some-odd charts to carry you through the weekend

Mar 6 • Moses Sternstein

Secondaries, deeper, stronger, liquider

Venture secondaries markets are growing up

Mar 4 • Moses Sternstein

February 2026

5 Idea Friday: Chopping Block; No Booze; PE Hard(er) Mode; One Neat Trick for More Robots; Housing Shortage, Interrupted

20 some-odd charts to carry you through the weekend

Feb 27 • Moses Sternstein

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